Conf = MAC-Commonwlth
Nickname = PA Falcons Coach = Dan CarsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.7089615 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Catholic Landmark ( 8- 8, 87.1) 11-10 224 H Marymount AEC ( 7- 9, 83.6) 21- 8 228 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7-10, 90.6) 5-12 302 A Stevens MAC-Freedom (14- 2, 95.8) 2-14 306 H Bridgewater ODAC ( 5-11, 83.0) 17-11 309 H Mary Washington CLC ( 8- 8, 90.1) 13-12 313 A Southern Virginia USA South ( 6-10, 82.1) 21- 9 316 A Guilford ODAC ( 7- 9, 82.4) 19- 9 323 A St Marys (MD) UnitedEast (11- 5, 89.6) 15-19 328 H Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 9, 83.5) 21-10 406 H Hood MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 8, 82.8) 14-12 410 A Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 9, 89.5) 15-12 413 A Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 81.1) 21-10 417 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-11, 84.9) 16- 7 420 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (10- 6, 93.5) 9-22 424 H Alvernia MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-11, 78.2) 14- 2 427 A York MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 94.9)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Catholic 11-10 1 1 -0.09 224 H Marymount 21- 8 13 5 1.42 228 A Franklin & Marshall 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.65 302 A Stevens 2-14 -12 -7 0.00 306 H Bridgewater 17-11 6 6 -0.14 309 H Mary Washington 13-12 1 0 1.89 313 A Southern Virginia 21- 9 12 6 0.86 316 A Guilford 19- 9 10 5 1.21 323 A St Marys (MD) 15-19 -4 -1 - -2.61 328 H Lebanon Valley 21-10 11 5 1.32 406 H Hood 14-12 2 6 -- -4.34 410 A Eastern 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.27 413 A Albright 21-10 11 7 0.00 417 H Widener 16- 7 9 4 + 2.70 420 A Stevenson 9-22 -13 -5 -1.76 424 H Alvernia 14- 2 12 10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Franklin & Marshall 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.65 406 H Hood 14-12 2 6 -- -4.34 323 A St Marys (MD) 15-19 -4 -1 - -2.61OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Eastern 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.27 417 H Widener 16- 7 9 4 + 2.70
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.70 Power Rank................. 64 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 69.21 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 73 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5471 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 132 RPI Rating............... .5575 RPI Rank................... 69 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 151 Selection sum ........... 248 Selection Rank ............ 76 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 43 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 47 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7